The growing political battle between FCT Minister Nyesom Wike and some APC governors is becoming more interesting by the day. This fight may be about more than just 2027; it could also be about who controls the political space beyond 2027.
Let me explain my thinking. The real fight is not just about 2027 — it is about 2031, when power is expected to return to the North. Wike is believed to have positioned himself as a possible vice-presidential candidate for that period. This, from what I understand, did not sit well with President Tinubu and his kitchen cabinet. It is even rumoured that the President’s camp has agreed in principle to drop Wike as FCT Minister if Tinubu wins a second term.
Wike is an experienced grassroots politician who understands how political structures work. His Rainbow Coalition is currently being presented as a cross-party platform to mobilise support for President Tinubu’s 2027 re-election, but the fact that it is operating across party lines has clearly created concerns within the APC hierarchy and the presidency.
I believe Wike also understands that political alliances can change after 2027. That may explain why he is building relationships and political structures across different states. His long-term calculations for 2031 are still speculation, but it would be unwise to assume that a politician of Wike’s experience is not thinking beyond the next election.
The APC governors may try to limit his influence, while Wike will certainly resist any attempt to politically neutralise him. Removing him from office may not necessarily end his influence; it could even push him into a more aggressive political battle.
Whatever happens, one thing is clear to me: Wike is not building only for today. He is playing the long game. And honestly, I am enjoying this political chess game.
Otunba Ademola Akinnola
Public Affairs Commentator & Advocate for Good Governance
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